Forest Sector Modeling

(Download printable PDF version)

 CONFERENCE AGENDA

 Day 1  Tuesday Nov 18

0800 - 0815     Welcome, Arrangements, Acknowledgements and Keynote Introduction                      

0815 - 0900     Keynote: Dr. Birger Solberg, "Forest sector modeling - views on present state and future challenges"          

0900 - 0910     Comments                 

0910 - 0940     Region 1 state-of-the-art: Europe - Dr. Anne Toppinen    

0940 - 1010     Region 2 state-of-the-art: Asia - Dr. Satoshi Tachibana               

1010 - 1020     Comments                 

1020 - 1050     Break             

1050 - 1120     Region 3 state-of-the-art: Southern Hemisphere - Dr. James Turner       

1120 - 1150     Region 4 state-of-the-art: North America - Dr. David Wear                     

1150 - 1200     Comments                 

1200 - 1330     Luncheon and decompress

1330 - 1500     CONCURRENT SESSIONS 1A

Using Models for Policy I

Anne Toppinen Alexander Moiseyev, Birger Solberg and Maarit Kallio. The impacts of increasing Russian roundwood export tariffs on the forest sector markets

Runsheng Yin and Jungho Baek. The North American Softwood Lumber Sector: Market Modeling and Policy Analysis

Venkatarao Nagubadi. Foreign Direct Investment Outflows in Forest Industry: The Case of Importing and Exporting Countries

Bioenergy I

Hanne Kathrine Sjølie, Erik Trømborg, Birger Solberg and Torjus Bolkesjø. Possible reductions of greenhouse gas emissions by the use of wood fuels in Norway

Peter Schwarzbauer and Tobias Stern. Energy vs. Material: Modelling Alternative Uses of Wood to Assess Economic Impacts

Robert C. Abt, Robert H. Beach, Frederick W. Cubbage, Christopher Galik, Yun Wu and Jui-Chen Yang. Effects of Expanded Wood-Based Bioenergy Production on Forest Markets in the U.S. South

Land Use in Forest Sector Modeling

Uwe A. Schneider, Juraj Balkovic, Stephane De Cara, Oskar Franklin, Steffen Fritz, Petr Havlik, Ingo Huck, Kerstin Jantke, A. Maarit I. Kallio, Florian Kraxner and Alexander Moiseyev. The European Forest and Agricultural Sector Optimization Model - EUFASOM

Ralph Alig and Darius Adams. Development and Application of An Integrated Forest and Agricultural Sector Model For Use in Policy Analysis for Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Mitigation and Adaptation:  Lessons Learned and  Future Opportunities

Petr Havlík, Uwe A. Schneider, Michael Obersteiner, Ingo Huck, Georg Kindermann, Christian Lull, Timm Sauer and Erwin Schmid. The Impact of Second Generation Biofuels on the Global Forest and Land-use Sectors

1500 - 1530     Break              

1530 -1700      CONCURRENT SESSIONS 1B

Forest Investments

Xianchun Liao and Changyou Sun. Impact Analysis of Endangered Species Act on Stock Market Return in US Companies

Bret Vicary. Integrating Non-Timber Values into Market-Based Forest Valuation Models

#3 TBA

Bioenergy II

Erik Trømborg and Birger Solberg Increased use of bioenergy: Impacts and opportunities for the Norwegian Forest Sector

Larry Mason Incorporating Wood-Based Bio-Energy Models into FSMs

Ming-Yuan Huang and Janaki R. R. Alavalapati. Economy-wide impact analysis of policies to promote forest biomass and bioenergy in Florida

Modeling Timber Availability

John Mills and Adelaide Johnson. Use of Classification Trees to Model Current and Future Forests of Washington, Oregon, and California

Lauri Valsta, Johanna Pohjola, Kim Pingoud and Henna Lyhykäinen. Building a regional wood supply model on inventory data

G.J.Nabuurs. European scale forest resource modelling at high resolution based on inventory data

Day 2 Wednesday Nov 19

0800 - 0815     House Keeping Comments

0830 - 1000     CONCURRENT SESSIONS 2A

Using Models for Policy III

Brant Abbott, Brad Stennes and G. Cornelis van Kooten. An economic analysis of mountain pine beetle impacts in a global context

Olaf Schwab. Agent-based forest sector modeling for investment and policy decisions following natural disturbances.

# 3 TBA

Elasticities in Models

Nianfu Song and Sun Joseph Chang. Derived Long-Run and Short-Run Relation of a Lumber Market

Robert C. Abt, Robert H. Beach, Frederick W. Cubbage and Jui-Chen Yang. Integration of Disaggregated Elasticity Estimates into the SubRegional Timber Supply Model

Xianchun Liao. Modeling pine pulpwood supply and demand in the US South: a structural and non-structural approach

Trade and Globalization

Susanna Laaksonen-Craig and Anne Toppinen. Profit persistence in globalising forest industry: econometric analysis with panel data

João Carlos Garzel Leodoro da Silva and Alexandre Anders Brasil. Development of a conceptual model of international marketing strategies and its application in the Brazilian pulp and paper sector

Changyou Sun and Yang Wan. Impact of Anti-Dumping Policy on Wooden Bedroom Furniture Imports from China

1000 - 1030     Break

1030 - 1200     CONCURRENT SESSIONS 2B

Using Models for Policy IV

Alexander Moiseyev, Birger Solberg and Bruce Michie. Scenario analysis of the impact of potential measures to prevent import of illegal wood and wood products

James Turner, Andres Katz and Joseph Buongiorno. Modelling the Implications of Illegal Logging for the New Zealand Forest Sector

Olubukola V. Oyerinde and Igbekele A. Ajibefun. Impact of size of small scale furniture industries on resource use efficiency in southwestern  Nigeria

FSM Carbon Accounting

Kurt Niquidet, Brad Stennes and G.C. van Kooten. Carbon taxes, carbon accounting and forest biomass burning for power generation in British Columbia

Darius Adams and Eunho Im. Assessing Potential Carbon Sequestration-Harvest Trade-offs with a Dynamic Regional Market Model of Public and Private Timberlands in Western Oregon

#3 TBA

FSM Consistency

Ljusk Ola Eriksson, Maarit Kallio, Birger Solberg, Riitta Hänninen, Leif Gustavsson and Kim Pingoud. Integrating forest sector and forestry models of different scales and resolutions

#2 TBA

#3 TBA

1200 - 1330     Luncheon and decompress

1330 - 1500     CONCURRENT SESSIONS 3

Modeling Impacts of Climate Change

Joseph Buongiorno, Jeff Prestemon, Ronald Raunikar, James Turner and Shushuai Zhu. Consequences of climate change for the global forest sector

Hanna-Liisa Kangas, Jani Laturi, Jussi Lintunen, Lauri Hetemäki and Jussi Uusivuori. Finnish Forest Sector Model: Analyzing Bioenergy and Climate Policy Implications

# 3 TBA

Forest Sector Models

Peter J. Ince and Andrew Kramp. Structure of new U.S. Forest Products Module (USFPM) in GFPM

A. Maarit I. Kallio and Petri Hilli. Accounting for uncertainty in a forest sector model using Monte Carlo simulation

Hirofumi Kuboyama, Hiroyasu Oka and Satoshi Tachibana. Modeling and Projections of Forest resources in Japan

Satoshi Tachibana and Hirofumi Kuboyama. Simulation analysis of the Japanese Wood Market

1500 - 1530     Break

1530 - 1630     Concluding Panel      Contemporary Directions for FSM by Rapporteurs

Day 3 Thursday Nov 20

Field Trip

(Speakers are identified with an underline)